Iran Regime Collapse Market Shows 89% No Odds Amid Heightened Activity
Politics Key Points * The 'Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?' market shows 89% probability for No. * This market
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politics
Trump Addresses Nation on Iran Conflict: Markets React Positively
Politics Key Points * Trump's address on April 1, 2026, aimed at resolving the Iran conflict. * Markets responded positively, anticipating conflict
READ →Scarce Recent Data Limits Prediction Market Repricing
Politics Key Points * The search results provide no new breaking news or data releases from the past 24 hours (April 2-3, 2026)
READ →Polymarket Odds Surge to 73% for US-Iran Ceasefire by Year-End
Politics Key Points * Polymarket odds jumped to 73% for a US-Iran ceasefire by December 31. * This surge follows recent military escalations, indicating
READ →US Trade Deficit Narrows to -$54.5B, Beating Expectations
Politics Key Points * US trade deficit narrowed to -$54.5B in March, defying expectations. * Stronger export performance amid global tensions signals
READ →Suspicious Bets on Ayatollah Khamenei's Assassination Raise Insider Trading Fe…
Politics Key Points * Bettors on Polymarket won big by accurately timing bets on Ayatollah Khamenei's assassination, sparking insider trading concerns.
READ →Suspicious Large Bets on Polymarket Precede US Military Action Against Iran
Politics Key Points * Unusual large bets on Polymarket accurately forecast the US bombing and assassination of former Iranian leader Ayatollah Khamenei. * Insider
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