U.S. CPI Data Misses Expectations, Boosting Fed Cut Odds
Technology Key Points * March CPI came in at 2.1% YoY, below the 2.4% forecast. * Fed interest rate markets on Kalshi
READ →Predifi Blog
Thoughts, stories and ideas.
Tesla Q1 2026 Deliveries Beat Estimates by 12% on Cybertruck Ramp
Technology Key Points * Tesla delivered 512,000 vehicles in Q1 2026, 12% above estimates. * Full Self-Driving software updates drive delivery growth. * Polymarket
READ →OpenAI's GPT-4.5: New Benchmarks, Shifting Markets
Technology Key Points * OpenAI's GPT-4.5 achieves top scores on MATH and GPQA benchmarks, surpassing competitors like Anthropic's
READ →NVIDIA's Q1 2026 Earnings Surge on AI Chip Demand
Technology Key Points * NVIDIA's Q1 2026 earnings show a 45% year-over-year revenue growth. * Data center AI GPUs are the primary
READ →NVIDIA Briefly Surpasses Apple as World's Largest Company by Market Cap
Technology Key Points * NVIDIA's stock jumped 8% in after-hours trading, briefly surpassing Apple's market cap. * Q1 earnings exceeded
READ →Polymarket Odds Surge to 73% for US-Iran Ceasefire by Year-End
Politics Key Points * Polymarket odds jumped to 73% for a US-Iran ceasefire by December 31. * This surge follows recent military escalations, indicating
READ →US Trade Deficit Narrows to -$54.5B, Beating Expectations
Politics Key Points * US trade deficit narrowed to -$54.5B in March, defying expectations. * Stronger export performance amid global tensions signals
READ →Suspicious Bets on Ayatollah Khamenei's Assassination Raise Insider Trading Fe…
Politics Key Points * Bettors on Polymarket won big by accurately timing bets on Ayatollah Khamenei's assassination, sparking insider trading concerns.
READ →Suspicious Large Bets on Polymarket Precede US Military Action Against Iran
Politics Key Points * Unusual large bets on Polymarket accurately forecast the US bombing and assassination of former Iranian leader Ayatollah Khamenei. * Insider
READ →Iran Supreme Leader Market Surges Amid Geopolitical Tensions
Geopolitics Key Points * Polymarket's 'Khamenei out as Supreme Leader' market saw a 1,275x volume surge to $29.
READ →Iran Strikes Israel, US Assets, and Gulf Energy Infrastructure
Geopolitics Key Points * Iran's strikes target regional energy infrastructure, exacerbating global energy market volatility * Prediction markets show heightened volume on
READ →US Airstrikes Against Iran Trigger Prediction Market Frenzy
Geopolitics Key Points * Polymarket sees Iran-related prediction markets hit $19M daily volumes by March 31 * Traders rapidly reprice risks around regime stability,
READ →
Toyota Commits $10 Billion to Electrification Amid Global Race
Technology Key Points * Toyota allocates $10 billion, with a significant portion for EV development * This move strengthens Toyota's commitment to
READ →
Apple Releases iOS 26.4 with Battery and Privacy Enhancements
Technology Key Points * iOS 26.4 introduces automation for battery charge limits, aiming to extend device longevity. * Interface refinements in iOS 26.
READ →
Climate-Health Workshop: Resilience Strategies Unveiled
Climate Key Points * The virtual workshop concluded with actionable steps for integrating health into climate adaptation plans. * Strategies discussed could lower climate-related
READ →